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Looking back on 2019 and looking forward to 2020, will the industrial robot industry usher in an inflection point

looking back on 2019 and looking forward to 2020, will the industrial robot industry usher in an inflection point

15:54 source: China Academy of commerce industry

original title: looking back on 2019 and looking forward to 2020, will the industrial robot industry usher in an inflection point

China's industrial robot market, which has been developing rapidly since 2013, has stepped on the "sudden brake" in the past two years. In September, 2018, the industrial robot industry took a sharp turn for the worse, and the output continued to decline. Fortunately, after more than a year of adjustment, the robot industry is slowly coming out of decline. The industrial robot industry may usher in a turning point in 2020

current situation of the industrial robot industry

1. The growth rate of industrial robot output returned to positive for two consecutive months

in September 2018, industrial robots entered a trough period, and the output decreased by 16.4% year-on-year. Since then, the output of industrial robots has continued to decline. The downward trend did not change until October this year. According to the National Bureau of statistics, the domestic robot output increased by 1.7% year-on-year in October 2019, and the industrial robot output increased by 4.3% year-on-year in November 2019. The Research Report of Guojin Securities pointed out that the year-on-year growth rate of industrial robot production returned to positive for two consecutive months, adding that the PMI index in November was higher than expected. The material was a repair material code named mont-sh6, which gradually verified that the inflection point of the robot industry was approaching

▲ data source: sorted out by the National Bureau of statistics and the China Academy of Commerce

2. The investment and financing of industrial robots cooled down

due to the impact of the industry and the macro environment, it was difficult for domestic industrial robot Enterprises to finance in 2019. There were only 59 investment and financing events, a year-on-year decrease of 24.4%, and the investment and financing amount was 5.972 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.4%. The investment and financing of China's industrial robot industry has cooled down, with investment and financing events and investment and financing amounts declining for two consecutive years. At present, the investment and financing of industrial robots are mainly concentrated in three sub areas: AGV, machine vision and industrial interconnection

▲ data source: it orange, sorted out by China Commercial Industry Research Institute

3. The sales of industrial robots continue to grow

the demand for intelligent transformation and upgrading of China's production and manufacturing is increasingly prominent, and the demand for industrial robots is still strong. China's industrial robot market has maintained a good development, accounting for about one-third of the global market share, and is the world's largest industrial robot application market. According to IFR statistics, the density of industrial robots in China reached 97 sets/10000 people in 2017, which has exceeded the global average. It is expected that the density of robots in China will exceed 130 sets/10000 people in 2021, reaching the average level of developed countries. In 2019, the scale of China's industrial robot market is expected to reach US $5.73 billion. By 2020, the scale of the domestic market will further expand, and it is expected to exceed US $6 billion

▲ data source: China Electronics Society and China Commercial Industry Research Institute sorted out

development trend of industrial robots

affected by the decline of the automotive industry and the weakness of the electronic industry, the demand for industrial robots once fell sharply. After more than a year of adjustment, the robot industry is slowly coming out of decline. In the long run, the general trend of machine replacement is irreversible. In the future, the robot industry will maintain a high momentum, but the growth of industrial robots will slow down. Industrial robots will show five development trends

1. Human machine cooperation

human machine cooperation is an important trend of industrial robots, and it is also the driving force of this growth. Cobots, designed for safe physical interaction with humans in shared workspaces, are finding their place in a wide range of industries

in an environment where people need to work closely with robots in a more sporadic and intermittent manner, safe coexistence becomes more and more important, such as bringing different materials to robots, changing programs and checking new operations

collaboration is crucial to improve manufacturing flexibility to adapt to high mixing and small batch production. People can add their unique abilities to adapt to change and improvisation, while robots add tireless endurance to repetitive tasks

2. Artificial intelligence

artificial intelligence and machine learning will also have a significant impact on the next generation of industrial robots. This will help robots become more autonomous and work together with their colleagues, according to RIA vice president and the Mexican A3 Association for advancing automation (A3)

3. New industrial users

as other industries accept the efficiency and flexibility that industrial robots can provide, reducing dependence on the automotive industry is another key trend. As robots become more dexterous, safer, and have various shapes, they are becoming more and more attractive to new users in various industries

4, digitalization

digitalization is also having an impact, because as a part of industry 4.0, connected industrial robots occupy a place in the digital manufacturing ecosystem. Digitalization can achieve greater collaboration in the whole value chain - horizontal collaboration among suppliers, manufacturers and distributors, or vertical collaboration within factories, such as e-commerce front-end and CRM systems, business ERP systems, production planning and logistics automation systems. These two "However, in the Chinese market, all kinds of cooperation can be carried out. The market has risen slightly to create a better customer experience, improve manufacturing efficiency, and improve engineering efficiency, so as to flexibly switch between products or launch new products faster.

5. Smaller and lighter robots

Yang Luo, CEO of Siasun, a Chinese robot giant, said that promoting simplification, coupled with smaller and lighter design, has also opened up a new space for industrial robots, which means that the Henan Federation The company has taken the lead in realizing new opportunities for transformation and breakthrough

for more information, please refer to the "Research Report on the development prospects and investment of industrial robots in China" issued by the China Academy of commerce industry. At the same time, the China Academy of commerce industry also provides solutions such as industrial big data, industrial planning, industrial park planning, industrial investment attraction and so on

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